Trading under uncertainty about other market participants

نویسندگان

چکیده

I present an asymmetric information model of financial markets in which there is uncertainty and learning not only about fundamentals but also the proportion informed-to-noise traders market. Extreme news leads to increase both types uncertainty, while it decreases price informativeness. Uncertainty market composition constitutes a type liquidity risk associated with high expected returns. The resulting price–volume relationship U-shaped positively sloped. In dynamic extension show that this mechanism generates momentum as well history-dependent volatility

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Market segmentation under uncertainty

This paper proposes a general model to value different strategies to enter a market, comparing alternative sequential segmentation paths to simultaneous investment in all segments. This general model also allows demand to evolve accordingly to an endogenous regimeswitching process, under which it can behave differently before and after investment. It is shown how uncertainty, revenues and inves...

متن کامل

Trading and Returns under Periodic Market Closures

This paper studies how market closures affect investors' trading policies and the resulting return-generating process. It shows that closures generate rich patterns of time variation in trading and returns, including those consistent with empirical findings: (1) U-shaped patterns in the mean and volatility of returns over trading periods, (2) higher trading activity around the close and open, (...

متن کامل

Market Clearing Mechanisms under Uncertainty

Electricity markets face a substantial amount of uncertainty. While traditionally this uncertainty has been due to varying demand, with the integration of larger proportions of volatile renewable energy, added uncertainty from generation must also be faced. Conventional electricity market designs cope with uncertainty by running two markets: a market that is cleared ahead of time, followed by a...

متن کامل

Uncertainty about Informed Trading in Dealer Markets - An Experiment∗

We use an economic experiment to examine the impact of an uncertain level of asymmetric information on the behavior of security dealers. Specifically, we distinguish three types of uncertainty with respect to informed trading risk, compound risk, and ambiguity for both a monopoly and a duopoly market setting. We find that dealers’ bidding behavior is less aggressive under ambiguity and compound...

متن کامل

Capacity reservation under spot market price uncertainty

Capacity reservation contracts and spot markets are two alternative purchasing practices. We focus on the cost-effective management of the combined use of these two procurement sources. Due to the variability of the spot market prices and demand uncertainty, the flexibility of combined sourcing can be advantageous. Spot market purchasing is a benefit in case of low spot market prices or insuffi...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: The Financial Review

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1540-6288', '0732-8516']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/fire.12333